Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo:
https://hdl.handle.net/10316/89035
Título: | Effects of extreme temperatures on cerebrovascular mortality in Lisbon: a distributed lag non-linear model | Autor: | Rodrigues, Mónica Alexandra dos Santos Rodrigues Rodrigues, Ana Paula Santana Rocha, Alfredo |
Palavras-chave: | Cerebrovascular diseases; Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM); Extreme temperatures; Lag effects; Portugal | Data: | 23-Fev-2019 | Editora: | Springer | Projeto: | POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006891 refª FCT: UID/GEO/04084/2013 |
Título da revista, periódico, livro ou evento: | International Journal of Biometeorology | Volume: | 63 | Número: | 4 | Resumo: | Cerebrovascular diseases are the leading cause of mortality in Portugal, especially when related with extreme temperatures. This study highlights the impacts of the exposure-response relationship or lagged effect of low and high temperatures on cerebrovascular mortality, which can be important to reduce the health burden from cerebrovascular diseases. The purpose of this study was to assess the effects of weather on cerebrovascular mortality, measured by ambient temperature in the District of Lisbon, Portugal. A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the delayed effects of temperature on cerebrovascular mortality up to 30 days. With reference to minimum mortality temperature threshold of 22 °C, there was a severe risk (RR = 2.09, 95% CI 1.74, 2.51) of mortality for a 30-day-cumulative exposure to extreme cold temperatures of 7.3 °C (1st percentile). Similarly, the cumulative effect of a 30-day exposure to an extreme hot temperature of 30 °C (99th percentile) was 52% (RR = 1.65, 95% CI 1.37, 1.98) higher than same-day exposure. Over the 13 years of study, non-linear effects of temperature on mortality were identified, and the probability of dying from cerebrovascular disease in Lisbon was 7% higher in the winter than in the summer. The findings of this study provide a baseline for future public health prevention programs on weather-related mortality. | URI: | https://hdl.handle.net/10316/89035 | ISSN: | 0020-7128 1432-1254 |
DOI: | 10.1007/s00484-019-01685-2 | Direitos: | embargoedAccess |
Aparece nas coleções: | I&D CEGOT - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais |
Ficheiros deste registo:
Ficheiro | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Effects of extreme temperatures on cerebrovascular mortality in Lisbon.pdf | 995.58 kB | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir |
Citações SCOPUSTM
36
Visto em 5/ago/2024
Citações WEB OF SCIENCETM
10
36
Visto em 2/ago/2024
Visualizações de página
291
Visto em 6/ago/2024
Downloads
379
Visto em 6/ago/2024
Google ScholarTM
Verificar
Altmetric
Altmetric
Este registo está protegido por Licença Creative Commons