Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10316/88968
Title: The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country
Authors: Seabra, Cláudia 
Reis, Pedro 
Abrantes, José Luís 
Keywords: Terrorism; Tourism; Safety; Substitution effects; Unrestricted Vector; Autoregressive model
Issue Date: Jan-2020
Publisher: Elsevier
Project: UID/ECO/00124/2013 
LISBOA-01-0145-FEDER-007722 
UID/Multi/04016/2019 
UID/GEO/ 04084/2019 
SFRH/BPD/109245/2015 
Serial title, monograph or event: Annals of Tourism Research
Volume: 80
Abstract: This longitudinal study examines the impact that terrorist attacks within a representative group of European countries can have on the tourism demand of a South European country with no record of terrorism attacks. In order to analyze the connections between terrorist attacks and tourists' arrivals, occurred between 2002 and the end of 2016, an Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive model was used for multivariate time series analysis. The main results show that terrorist attacks have a strong impact on tourist arrivals and confirm the existence of terrorism spillover, namely the substitution and generalization effects phenomena.
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10316/88968
ISSN: 01607383
DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.102811
Rights: embargoedAccess
Appears in Collections:I&D CEGOT - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais

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