Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/10316/89020
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Alvarenga, António | - |
dc.contributor.author | Costa, Carlos A. Bana e | - |
dc.contributor.author | Borrell, Carme | - |
dc.contributor.author | Ferreira, Pedro Lopes | - |
dc.contributor.author | Freitas, Ângela Mendes | - |
dc.contributor.author | Freitas, Liliana | - |
dc.contributor.author | Oliveira, Mónica D. | - |
dc.contributor.author | Rodrigues, Teresa C. | - |
dc.contributor.author | Rodrigues, Ana Paula Santana | - |
dc.contributor.author | Santos, Maria Lopes | - |
dc.contributor.author | Vieira, Ana C. L. | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-03-20T10:49:07Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2020-03-20T10:49:07Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2019-06-25 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 1475-9276 | pt |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10316/89020 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Background: Health inequalities have been consistently reported across and within European countries and continue to pose major challenges to policy-making. The development of scenarios regarding what could affect population health (PH) inequalities across Europe in the future is considered critical. Scenarios can help policy-makers prepare and better cope with fast evolving challenges. Objective: This paper describes the three 2030 time-horizon scenarios developed under the EURO-HEALTHY project, depicting the key factors that may affect the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions. Methods: A three-stage socio-technical approach was applied: i) identification of drivers (key factors expected to affect the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions until 2030) – this stage engaged in a Web-Delphi process a multidisciplinary panel of 51 experts and other stakeholders representing the different perspectives regarding PH inequalities; ii) generation of scenario structures – different drivers’ configurations (i.e. their hypotheses for evolution) were organized into coherent scenario structures using the Extreme-World Method; and iii) validation of scenario structures and generation of scenario narratives. Stages ii) and iii) were conducted in two workshops with a strategic group of 13 experts with a wide view about PH inequalities. The scenario narratives were elaborated with the participants’ insights from both the Web-Delphi process and the two workshops, together with the use of evidence (both current and future-oriented) on the different areas within the PH domain. Results: Three scenarios were developed for the evolution of PH inequalities in Europe until 2030: ‘Failing Europe’ (worstcase but plausible picture of the future), ‘Sustainable Prosperity’ (best-case but plausible picture of the future), and an interim scenario ‘Being Stuck’ depicting a ‘to the best of our knowledge’ evolution. These scenarios show the extent to which a combination of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and Environmental drivers shape future health inequalities, providing information for European policy-makers to reflect upon whether and how to design robust policy solutions to tackle PH inequalities. Conclusions: The EURO-HEALTHY scenarios were designed to inform both policy design and appraisal. They broaden the scope, create awareness and generate insights regarding the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions. | pt |
dc.language.iso | eng | pt |
dc.publisher | BMC | pt |
dc.rights | openAccess | pt |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | pt |
dc.subject | Delphi method | pt |
dc.subject | Foresight | pt |
dc.subject | Health inequalities | pt |
dc.subject | Participatory approach | pt |
dc.subject | Policies | pt |
dc.subject | Population Health | pt |
dc.subject | Scenarios | pt |
dc.subject | Socio-technical approach | pt |
dc.subject | Stakeholders | pt |
dc.title | Scenarios for population health inequalities in 2030 in Europe: the EURO-HEALTHY project experience | pt |
dc.type | article | en |
degois.publication.issue | 1 | pt |
degois.publication.title | International Journal for Equity in Health | pt |
dc.relation.publisherversion | https://equityhealthj.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8#citeas | pt |
dc.peerreviewed | yes | pt |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8 | pt |
degois.publication.volume | 18 | pt |
dc.date.embargo | 2019-06-25 | * |
uc.date.periodoEmbargo | 0 | pt |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.fulltext | Com Texto completo | - |
crisitem.author.researchunit | CEISUC - Center for Health Studies and Research of the University of Coimbra | - |
crisitem.author.researchunit | CEGOT – Centre of Studies on Geography and Spatial Planning | - |
crisitem.author.researchunit | CEGOT – Centre of Studies on Geography and Spatial Planning | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-9448-9542 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-1081-2147 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-7658-8475 | - |
Appears in Collections: | I&D CEGOT - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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Scenarios for population health inequalities in 2030 in Europe.pdf | 1.49 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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